Well, we’ve had one crazy start to the postseason, and now we’re down to just four. Blue Jays, Indians, Cubs, and Dodgers. Who’s it gonna be?
For those who read my MLB Playoff preview, you know I ended up going 1 for 4 after my 1 for 2 performance in the Wild Card games. You can look at that however you want, but I’m gonna stick with baseball terms and say I’m batting .250, which isn’t too shabby. You guys were in the presence of greatness, and you didn’t even know it.
So despite my subpar picking skills (which have lost me a decent amount of money the last few weeks, fucking Sox) I’m gonna hit you guys with my prediction for the ALCS and NLCS*. So let’s see who TakeZone’s resident baseball expert is taking for these two heavyweight matchups.
ALCS: Blue Jays vs. Indians
So yeah, I got the ALCS totally wrong. 100% wrong. I had Rangers in 5, and the Blue Jays swept em. I had the Sox in 4, and I’m still not ready to talk about it so I’m not gonna. Anyway, this gives us a pretty unique championship series matchup because, to be honest, these teams are pretty much polar opposites. The Blue Jays bashed their way to the top Wild Card spot this year, bashing 221 homers on the year, good for 3rd in the AL. Toronto had some solid starting pitching and fields an all around strong team, for sure, but their bats are clearly their strength. Cleveland, on the other hand, got here with primarily small ball. They hit just 185 homers as a team, 10th in the AL, but sported a 3.84 team ERA in the regular season, good for 2nd in the American League. And you could also mention they just all but shut down one of the best offenses we’ve seen in a decade on their way to a sweep, but I won’t. Their defense ended up with average statistical results (7th in the AL in average, league average in fielding percentage), but they’re very strong defensively, especially up the middle. Oh, and it didn’t hurt to lead the AL with 134 steals, including having 4 guys (Rajai Davis, Jose Ramirez, Francisco Lindor, and Jason Kipnis) in the top 20 in SB. These guys love to run and manufacture runs, and that’s what they’ll have to do against a Toronto club that can swing the goddamn bats.
Ultimately, this series is a bit of a toss up. Cleveland is being dubbed as the favorite by most sources, and if their pitching picks up where they left off in the ALDS they should win. But in my years (months) of covering baseball, one thing I’ve learned is to never count out the Blue Jays bats, because Bautista and Edwin and Donaldson and the rest of those Tim Horton’s eating, beer throwing, racial slur at Baltimore outfielders hurling assholes will make you pay. Regardless, I’m going with the safe pick.
Prediction: Indians in 6
NLCS: Cubs vs. Dodgers
So the Cubs represent the only team that I correctly picked to reach the championship series, and also the only team that was basically a lock to reach their championship series (despite whatever even-year voodoo that hick Bumgarner had up his sleeve). Chicago is the most complete team in this remaining field, no doubt about it, and they should definitely be the favorite to win it all at this point. But, at the same time, we have to remember who we’re talking about here; it’s the Cubs. The billy goat. Bartman. 108 years. This is anybody’s series.
It took the Dodgers 4 normal games and a MARATHON game 5 (the 7th inning alone ran over an hour long) to knock off the Nats, but the momentum is real with these guys. Christ, Clayton Kershaw put a little shine in his otherwise-ugly postseason record by getting a save in Game 5, his first of his major league career. He’ll build off that, and the team will build off a comeback win that featured 4 runs in the 7th inning and a 2.1 inning outing from their closer. That’s the kind of stuff championship teams pull off.
This may not be the case in the AL, but for the NLCS it’s pretty clear these are the two teams who deserve to be here. You may be able to argue the Nats earned it in the regular season, but the Cubs and Dodgers are certainly fair representatives from the NL. As great as the Cubs pitching was this year (3.15 team ERA was 1st in the NL), the Dodgers weren’t far behind at 3.70 as a team (5th in the NL). And the Dodgers struck out over 1500 batters this season, most in the NL (Cubs were in 3rd). Ultimately, the team that can score some timely runs late and pitch consistently and effectively is going to win this series. It’s gonna go the distance, and it’s gonna be a fun one, but pure logic has to outweigh the curse here.
Prediction: Cubs in 7
And for now, I’m not even gonna touch the World Series. Probably because it’ll probably be the exact opposite of what I picked. Whatever, go Cubs and Tribe I guess.
*I kept just saying “ALCS and NLCS” because apparently the plural form of “series” is “series” and that just confuses the shit out of me. Why does English suck?